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Managed Healthcare Market Report

Jan. 15, 2007

MHMR Jan. 15, 2007; Volume 15, Number 1
CA plan to require 85% MCR...Bill seeks Part D negotiations...SPECIAL REPORT: Outlook for 2007...13 top execs on 2007 outlook: Aetna, BCBS-NC, Cigna, CDPHP, Excellus, Fallon, Harvard Pilgrim, Health Net, HealthPartners, Horizon BCBS-NJ, Sierra, United, WellPoint...’07 profits to grow 5%...’06 MCO margins top 5%...Wall Street mixed on 2007...Random stock picks beat Street MCO stocks mixed in ‘06...Part D bumps in the road...HMO stocks rise 1%...Caremark rejects Express bid...and more...

CA HEALTHCARE PLAN TO REQUIRE 85% MCR
The universal healthcare plan proposed by Gov. Arnold Schwarzenegger for California’s 4.8 million uninsured would require health plans to spend 85% of premiums on medical care—a stipulation that could cut into the profitability of insurers.

HOUSE BILL SEEKS PART D NEGOTIATIONS
The Democratic-controlled Congress is trying to make good on its promise to require the government to negotiate directly with pharmaceutical manufacturers on the price of drugs offered through the Medicare Part D drug program.

MANAGED CARE ’07: GOOD, BAD OR UGLY?
The managed care industry marches into 2007 dogged by numerous questions about the industry’s long-term prospects.

’07 MANAGED CARE PROFITS TO RISE 5.4%, CRG SAYS
Managed care industry profits are projected to grow 5.4% in 2007, according to The Outlook for Managed Care, 2007, a 100-page annual report prepared by the editors of MHMR.

MCO NET PROFIT MARGINS TOP 5% IN 2006
Managed care industry profit margins rose to 5.1% among 12 publicly traded managed care organizations through the first nine months of the year, compared to the same period a year earlier.

ANALYSTS SEE OBSTACLES FOR MANAGED CARE IN 2007
Wall Street analysts project mixed results for managed care stocks in 2007, with no clear consensus on which companies will be the winners and which will be the losers.

MHMR RANDOM ’06 STOCK PICKS BEAT WALL STREET
MHMR beat out four top Wall Street analysts in managed care stock picks for 2006, despite choosing the names randomly out of a hat.

MCO STOCKS MIXED IN 2006—BIG WINNERS, BIG LOSERS
Managed care stocks were mixed in 2006, with big winners and big losers.

CAREMARK REJECTS EXPRESS SCRIPTS TAKEOVER BID
Caremark Inc. (Nashville, TN) formally rejected a hostile takeover bid from Express Scripts (Maryland Heights, MO), stating that such a deal wouldn’t be in the best interest of shareholders; instead, Caremark will continue to pursue its previously announced merger with CVS Corp. (Woonsocket, RI).

MANAGED CARE STOCKS RISE 0.7%
Managed care stocks rose 0.7% in the two weeks ended Jan. 19, according to an MHMR tally of 13 issues.


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